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IMF warns of inflationary risks as oil prices surge amid Middle East conflict

International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director warned that escalating tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran pose significant upside risks to global inflation, as oil prices jumped more than 30% in Asian trade to their highest levels since 2022.

TAS News Service

info@thearabianstories.com

Monday, March 9, 2026

TOKYO – Speaking at a seminar organised by the Japanese Ministry of Finance, Kristalina Georgieva, Managing Director of IMF, said a sustained 10 percent increase in oil prices could push global inflation up by approximately 40 basis points if high prices persist for most of the year.

“We are witnessing a new test of the resilience of the global economy due to the new conflict in the Middle East, and policymakers must prepare for unforeseen scenarios,” she said.

The warning comes as Brent crude futures jumped more than 30 percent to $119.50 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) reached a session high of $119.43, marking the highest levels since 2022. The conflict has now entered its tenth consecutive day, fuelling fears of further energy market disruptions.

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